IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Robert Morris
Northeast
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.2	#233
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.6	#106
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.1	#309

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.9	#136

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.9%	23.2%	12.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.9	15.5

.500 or above	54.3%	83.9%	52.2%
.500 or above in Conference	72.2%	88.4%	71.1%
Conference Champion	15.8%	28.2%	14.9%
Last Place in Conference	3.8%	0.9%	4.0%

First Four	5.4%	6.5%	5.4%
First Round	10.2%	19.3%	9.6%
Second Round	0.4%	0.9%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.6%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 6.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 1.4	0.0 - 1.4
Quad 1b	0.1 - 0.9	0.1 - 2.3
Quad 2	0.2 - 1.3	0.3 - 3.6
Quad 3	1.5 - 4.1	1.7 - 7.7
Quad 4	13.1 - 6.5	14.9 - 14.1

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2018	58	@ USC	L	64-77	7%
Nov 09, 2018	190	@ Missouri St.	L	66-69	29%
Nov 17, 2018	344	Mississippi Valley	W	76-66	88%
Nov 19, 2018	337	@ Stetson	W	75-67	67%
Nov 23, 2018	27	@ Purdue	L	62-78	4%
Nov 28, 2018	329	Youngstown St.	W	77-70	81%
Dec 01, 2018	280	@ Drexel	W	73-71	47%
Dec 05, 2018	162	@ Canisius	L	69-73	26%
Dec 08, 2018	284	Siena	W	68-66	68%
Dec 15, 2018	110	@ Rider	L	73-81	17%
Dec 21, 2018	54	@ Louisville	L	66-79	8%
Jan 03, 2019	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	74-73	63%
Jan 05, 2019	331	Mount St. Mary's	W	69-62	81%
Jan 10, 2019	318	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	73-68	57%
Jan 12, 2019	225	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	74-75	39%
Jan 19, 2019	315	@ Bryant	W	77-72	57%
Jan 21, 2019	313	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	69-64	56%
Jan 24, 2019	324	Sacred Heart	W	72-66	78%
Jan 26, 2019	215	Wagner	L	67-68	57%
Jan 31, 2019	160	St. Francis (PA)	L	71-75	45%
Feb 02, 2019	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	74-73	42%
Feb 07, 2019	315	Bryant	W	77-72	74%
Feb 09, 2019	313	Central Connecticut St.	W	69-64	73%
Feb 14, 2019	331	@ Mount St. Mary's	W	69-62	64%
Feb 16, 2019	160	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	71-75	27%
Feb 21, 2019	225	LIU Brooklyn	L	74-75	58%
Feb 23, 2019	318	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	73-68	75%
Feb 28, 2019	324	@ Sacred Heart	W	72-66	59%
Mar 02, 2019	215	@ Wagner	L	67-68	38%
Projected Record						14.9 - 14.1	10.4 - 7.6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.6	2.5	3.7	4.2	3.0	1.4	0.3		15.8	1st
2nd											0.1	1.5	4.0	5.3	3.8	1.1	0.1				16.0	2nd
3rd										0.3	2.2	5.3	5.2	2.1	0.4	0.0					15.5	3rd
4th									0.3	2.1	4.9	4.0	1.2	0.1							12.7	4th
5th								0.3	2.2	5.0	3.5	0.8	0.0								11.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	2.1	4.4	2.4	0.6	0.0									9.6	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.7	3.2	1.8	0.3	0.0										7.3	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.5	2.1	1.2	0.1	0.0											5.3	8th
9th		0.0	0.0	0.5	1.1	1.3	0.7	0.1													3.8	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.0														2.2	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.0	3.4	4.9	6.9	8.8	10.0	11.3	11.7	11.1	9.9	7.9	5.4	3.2	1.4	0.3			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	100.0%	1.4		1.3	0.1
16-2	95.8%	3.0		2.7	0.3
15-3	78.9%	4.2		3.1	1.0	0.1
14-4	46.5%	3.7		1.9	1.4	0.4	0.0
13-5	24.8%	2.5		0.8	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.2%	0.6		0.1	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	15.8%	15.8		10.2	4.2	1.1	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		77.5%	77.5%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1		0.1
17-1	1.4%		63.1%	63.1%		14.3												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.5
16-2	3.2%		53.6%	53.6%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.3	1.5
15-3	5.4%		42.3%	42.3%		15.2													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.0	3.1
14-4	7.9%		25.3%	25.3%		15.6														0.0	0.2	0.5	1.4	5.9
13-5	9.9%		19.5%	19.5%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.3	1.6	8.0
12-6	11.1%		14.7%	14.7%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.5	9.5
11-7	11.7%		8.5%	8.5%		16.0																0.0	1.0	10.7
10-8	11.3%		5.0%	5.0%		16.0																	0.6	10.7
9-9	10.0%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.3	9.7
8-10	8.8%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	8.7
7-11	6.9%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
6-12	4.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
5-13	3.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.4
4-14	2.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
3-15	1.2%																							1.2
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		12.9%	12.9%	0.0%	15.4												0.0	0.2	0.4	1.4	2.8	8.1	87.1		0.0%